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Oh Please: "More Babies, Please"?

New York Times columnist Ross Douthat fears that a "decadent" lower birthrate means America is doomed. But births likely will increase as the economy improves, and even if they don't, there's no reason to panic.

There’s always this creeping sense of dread whenever I click on a Ross Douthat column in The New York Times. This time as usual, the dread was warranted. The headline alone, “More Babies, Please,” should have warned me not to keep reading. But I just can’t help myself! It’s like a car wreck!

First, credit where credit is due. Douthat did say a few reasonable things. If nations want to increase their birthrate, they might start by supporting programs that make having kids easier – like flexible work hours and help with college tuition. If having children is unaffordable, more people will choose not to. (How Douthat plans to explain that to lawmakers who want to cut Medicaid, food stamps, tuition aid and other important programs for families is another issue entirely.)

But why is Douthat freaking out about America’s birthrate in the first place?

Yes, our birthrate has recently fallen below replacement level of 2.1 births per woman. Just like it has during other recessions. Call me crazy, but I think it’s a good thing when people wait until they’re able to afford a kid before they have one. When the economy improves, historically, Americans start having babies again.

But what if it doesn’t this time? DOOM, right? Not necessarily.

It’s true that America is aging, and as the Baby Boomers grow older, we’ll need to make adjustments. We’ll need more gerontologists and fewer pediatricians, and more retirement homes and fewer schools. But what people like Douthat fail to take into account is that a high birthrate doesn’t automatically translate into economic strength. For one thing, children aren’t free. Simply having more babies is not a recipe for success if those kids don’t get what they need to thrive. A nation must invest in health, education and public safety if its kids are going to grow up to be productive citizens. That stuff costs money.

Douthat also fails to consider the environmental cost of an ever-growing population. Resources like land and water aren’t infinite, and climate change-induced drought could make things worse. It’s already estimated that the world will have to increase food production 70 percent (!) to feed everyone in 2050. Adding to the population adds to the challenge, especially when those extra people are Americans. If everyone lived our resource-rich lifestyles, we’d need five Earths to sustain us.

But where Douthat really annoys me is with his belief that American women are shirking their moral duty by having fewer children. As he says:

The retreat from child rearing is, at some level, a symptom of late-modern exhaustion — a decadence that first arose in the West but now haunts rich societies around the globe. It’s a spirit that privileges the present over the future … . It embraces the comforts and pleasures of modernity, while shrugging off the basic sacrifices that built our civilization in the first place.

Did it ever occur to Douthat that some of us aren’t having kids BECAUSE we’re concerned about the future? The kids I don’t have leave more resources for the dozen or so kids Douthat has – assuming he can talk his wife into being the vessel of sustained procreation he clearly desires. That’s anything but “decadence.”

As for “shrugging off the basic sacrifices that built our civilization,” I’ll listen to Douthat talk about “sacrifices” as soon as he’s able to gestate another human being in his uterus for nine months, then push it out his birth canal, risking life and limb, then repeating every two years or so until menopause. The lower birth rates Douthat so fears mean lower mortality for women and infants, but apparently the deaths of both are simply “basic sacrifices” toward Douthat’s dream of sustained population growth.

I’d suggest that Douthat take a chill pill. We’ll be fine. Americans will keep having babies. We’re not running out of people, even if women are choosing to have fewer children. Many of us rather like the freedom family planning gives us to pursue our own dreams – the freedom men have always enjoyed.

 

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